CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-11-05T10:53:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-11-05T10:53ZDONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/42425/-1
CME Note: CME first seen in real time to the E in STEREO A COR2 starting at 2025-11-05T10:53Z. CME is also seen in GOES CCOR-1 as a halo with the bulk to the E. CME was missed by SOHO LASCO C2/C3 in real time due to a scheduled gap between downlink periods. The CME is most likely associated with a long-duration M7.4 class flare from AR 14274 (N24E47) that peaked at 2025-11-05T11:19Z. The flare and associated eruption can be seen across GOES SUVI wavelengths but is best visible in GOES SUVI 304.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2025-11-07T04:48Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-11-07T06:47Z (-3.0h, +9.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:
************************************************************************************** % Compiled module: EAM ************************************************************************************** Most pr. speed = 1123.0 km/sec The EAM version you are running is: v2 u_r = 1194.84 Acceleration: -3.36624 Duration in seconds: 158070.76 Duration in days: 1.8295227 ************************************************************************************** Acceleration of the CME: -3.37 m/s^2 Velocity of the CME at 1 AU: 662.7 km/s Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 07/11/2025 Time: 06:47 UT **************************************************************************************Lead Time: 16.80 hour(s)
Difference: -1.98 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2025-11-06T12:00Z
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